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Around SBN: 'You Just Have to Put Him to Sleep'

Hockey Deprived Americans

Hockey has grown substantially in the United States over the past couple of decades, to the point where in nearly every state, there is some high level hockey to enjoy as a fan.  Not all major metropolitan areas enjoy this, but at least on the state by state level, its very close.

But despite these advancements, there are some very notable places without high quality hockey.

First off, some basic definitions:  The United States government has different levels of designated census areas to consider.  These are areas with common economic, social, media and even scholastic ties.  A simple example would be to consider a major city, with its nearby suburbs or bedroom communities.  For example, Los Angeles is really just a city of 3.8 million people, but its growth has helped boom neighbouring cities like Anaheim, Long Beach, and Riverside.  Los Angeles has a defined metropolitan area, but with Riverside (city population of 304k, metro population of 1.5m, dubbed the "Inland Empire"), it combines to form a Combined Statistical Area, an area with more than one major hub, but closely related.  San Jose and San Francisco provide another example, as do Seattle, Tacoma and Olympia in Washington. 

The definitions aren't always exact...  but just think of it in terms of 'greater region' and you've got the gist of it.  The definitions work the other way as well:  there are micropolitan statistical areas for smaller centres, while rural areas are defined by counties.

The largest metropolis in the USA without a NHL franchise is Houston, at just over 6 million people.  It is the ninth largest population area in the United States, and the largest without a team in every one of the four major professional sports leagues.  They do have an AHL franchise, the Houston Aeros, who have been very successful, using a moniker that was used in the old World Hockey Association, a team that once featured Gordie Howe with his two sons, Marty and Mark. 

The second largest metropolis without a NHL team?  Well, that now belongs to Atlanta at 5.6m.  With now two failed big league franchises (and Houston realistically with one, as the WHA was a legitimate top professional circuit), Atlanta hockey fans are now facing a tough new reality.  The only high level hockey option in the area are the Gwinnett Gladiators of the ECHL, located in the suburbs.  Over the past twenty years, amateur hockey has grown quite noticeably in Georgia, but there is reason to be concerned about its immediate future without the flagship franchise around as a promotional tool.

10 Largest non-NHL Markets
Market State(s) Population

Pop. Growth

(since 1990)

Other ML

Amateur Hockey

Rank (State)

Houston-Baytown-Huntsville TX 6051363 25.67% 3 38th
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Gainesville GA-AL 5618341 23.53% 3 45th-44th
Seattle-Tacoma-Olympia WA 4199312 13.28% 2 25th
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos CA 3095313 10.00% 2 36th
Cleveland-Akron-Elyria OH 2881937 -2.17% 3 23rd
Orlando-Deltona-Dayton Beach FL 2818120 22.93% 1 33rd
Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Yuba City CA 2461780 18.97% 1 36th
Charlotte-Gastonia-Salisbury NC-SC 2402623 26.65% 2 31st-42nd
Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton OR-WA 2226009 15.46% 1 46th-25th
Cincinatti-Middleton-Wilmington OH-KY-IN 2171191 5.95% 2 23rd-40th-30th

Star-divide

Beyond Houston and Atlanta, we get to a notably smaller range of cities:  Seattle is a major market that is completely ignored by pro hockey, settling for two major junior franchises.  There's interest both from locals and the NHL in the market at this time, but that relationship is in the formative stages by the sounds of things.  Cleveland and Cincinatti were ignored, probably on purpose by the NHL, in favour of Columbus, a slightly smaller market in Ohio but one without any major league competition.  Likewise, Raleigh was chosen over Charlotte to represent the Carolinas, and it appears to have been a wise choice.  Sacramento is a NBA town (well, barely, the Kings almost moved recently), while San Diego is an interesting idea if nothing else.  Orlando has the NBA as well, and is very close to Tampa Bay, but you wonder why there isn't any notable hockey there at all currently.  Portland also has the NBA, and there has been some support for a NHL team there in the past but that seems to have faded in recent years. 

No Major Leagues in Town
Market State(s) Population Pop. Growth Minor Hky Teams Amateur Hockey Rank
Las Vegas-Paradise-Pahrump NV 1995215 41.68% 1 (ECHL) 41st
Austin-Round Rock TX 1759039 37.01% 1 (AHL) 38th
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC 1671683 6.05% 1 (AHL) 27th-31st
Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point NC 1589200 12.34% 0 31st
Louisville-Jefferson County-Elizabethtown-Scottsburg KY-IN 1427483 10.45% 0 40th-30th
Hartford-West Hartford-Willimantic CT 1330809 5.81% 4 (1 AHL, 3 NCAA) 11th
Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland MI 1321577 5.33% 2 (1 AHL, 1 USHL) 6th
Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson SC 1266995 12.31% 1 (ECHL) 42nd
Richmond VA 1258251 14.70% 0 27th
Birmingham-Hoover-Cullman AL 1208453 6.97% 0 44th
Albany-Schenectady-Amsterdam NY 1168485 4.51% 5 (2 AHL, 3 NCAA) 16th
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls NY 1149653 1.60% 5 (1 AHL, 4 NCAA) 16th
Fresno-Madera CA 1081315 17.21% 1 (NAHL) 36th
Dayton-Springfield-Greenville OH 1072891 -1.12% 1 (CHL) 23rd
Knoxville-Sevierville-La Follette TN 1055086 12.76% 1 (SPHL) 39th

 

Las Vegas has been discussed in the past as a 'who will be the first league to go there' scenario, as it is now clearly the largest US market without a major pro franchise.  Austin is booming as well, and would present a unique opportunity.  The rest of the list includes one former NHL city in Hartford, and a bunch of cities with marginal benefit based on the current makeup of the NHL and smaller market size.  Its notable that I show all the way down to Knoxville for this reason:  up until now, these were all larger markets than Edmonton's recorded population in 2006 (though it is surely higher than at least Knoxville at the moment), which was the smallest market in the NHL.  For reference, the smallest US major league town is of course Green Bay, WI, with a population of only 306,241.  Beyond that special case of the NFL's legendary Packers, the smallest was New Orleans, which lost 10% of its population between 1990 and 2010 largely as a result of Hurricane Katrina, with two major league franchises for a metro area of over 1.21m.  The smallest American NHL markets are Buffalo and Nashville, both over the 1.6m barrier, and Raleigh at 1.74m is the only other American market below 2m in population. 

Things are definitely different in Canada, where the league can find a way to justify moving a team from the huge Atlanta to tiny Winnipeg, a city of around 700k.  The four smallest markets in the NHL are all Canadian now, and Metro Vancouver, as big as it seems to Canadians, is only larger than 4 American markets (Columbus being the 4th).  There is something to be said about hockey culture and NHL success...  and the NHL is preparing to test that theory in a big way with the move to Winnipeg, a city in the third tier of Canadian market size with Quebec and Hamilton. 

Places with Few Options

There are seven NHL markets with no other (economy) options for the hockey fan: 

  1. Washington-Baltimore-Northern Virginia, DC-MD-VA-WV (pop. 8572971)
  2. San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland, CA (pop. 7468390)
  3. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL (pop. 5564365)
  4. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ (pop. 4192887)
  5. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL (pop. 2783243)
  6. Raleigh-Durham-Cary, NC (pop. 1749525)
  7. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Columbina, TN (pop. 1670890)

Yes, there is no notable hockey for fans in Baltimore, which seems to me to be quite odd.  Baltimore is a former WHA market, but has fallen off the map completely in the hockey world.  None of the schools in this area, the fourth largest population base in the USA, have joined the NCAA, and no mid to lower tier professional circuit has decided to set up shop in this area, either.  Its curious, to say the least. Hockey culture plays a role for the other markets, but so does viability:  California and Arizona are a long ways away from NCAA hockey and only have a couple of minor league options to choose from in general.  Florida's minor league circuit exists in smaller markets, and stays away from the big cities. 

Meanwhile, there are three whole states without any notable hockey other than local leagues and ACHA college hockey to watch:

  1. Montana - AH Rank #10 (pop. 989415)
  2. Wyoming - AH Rank #12 (pop. 563626)
  3. Hawaii - AH Rank #50 (pop. 1360301)

As said before, not much can be done about Hawaii...  but Montana and Wyoming hopefully will get local teams to cheer on in notable circuits soon.  They both lack population and are a bit distant for a lot of leagues, but I can't imagine why the NCAA wouldn't accept a collegiate team, and the NAHL and even CHL are close by for options at the junior and professional levels.  For Montana, there is even the possibility of joining the WHL circuit, with cities like Missoula, Helena and Great Falls all in decent travel distance to other markets.  Considering the strong hockey culture in these states, you'd think it'd be worth looking into. 

Hockey has hit a lot of new places in the USA in the past twenty years...  but there's still a lot of uncharted territory out there.

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This has been a very intersting series

not what i was really expecting but a fascinating read none the less.

by ColeStevens on Jun 14, 2011 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Good series!

You mention the possibility of WHL hockey in Montana, and it made me wonder if the league has ever considered a return to Billings. The Bighorns played there in the early 80s for a few seasons, and I’m not sure exactly what lay behind their decision to eventually move.

One other question – where does Kansas City rank on the list of population areas without NHL teams? I ask because I believe there’s considerable interest there in acquiring a team, and I think they’ve already got a decent arena.

Anyway, these article have been very interesting reading – thank you!

by Chunklets on Jun 14, 2011 12:34 PM EDT reply actions  

KC is just after the cutoff there… next up is San Antonio, TX (2.14m), then KC (2.10m), then Indianapolis (2.08m). KC has 2 major league teams, but no NBA team (NHL’s most direct competition), while San Antonio only has the NBA in town, and Indy has NFL and NBA. KC is obviously a former NHL city, currently only having a CHL team in the area. San Antonio currently has just an AHL team, while Indianapolis (former WHA city) just has an USHL team.

Compared to current NHL markets, those three are slightly bigger than Columbus (2.07m). KC getting a team would probably be a big boost to Missouri’s relatively stalled minor hockey system.

Billings and Great Falls both had WHL teams in the past. I’m not sure about the current size of existing arenas in Montana cities, but I think one of the issues was just distance back then… Billings is quite a ways away from another WHL city. That’s why I suggested Missoula and maybe Great Falls/Helena. A second American division of the WHL could be doable if those markets are successful, with Billings being a part of that. The other option is USHL expansion: currently the USHL is almost on par with major junior leagues in terms of quality (its way better than any Canadian Jr. A circuit, and look at how players like John Carlson, Louis Leblanc, and Brandon Saad transferred into major junior to see the USHL’s quality) at 16 teams. Further expansion west could be an option, with markets in North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana and Wyoming part of that.

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by Bruce Peter on Jun 14, 2011 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the info! That Great Falls team was… itinerant, wasn’t it? Flin-Flon to Edmonton to Great Falls to Spokane in consecutive seasons.

by Chunklets on Jun 15, 2011 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

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